Iea world energy outlook 2011a comment sciencedirect. That is the question asked by the international energy agency on page 48 of the introduction to their world energy outlook 2010, launched on 9 november 2010. It represents the leading source citation needed for medium to longterm energy market projections, extensive statistics, analysis and advice for both governments and the energy business. Oecdiea 20 the iea outlook for gas laszlo varro head, gas coal and power markets. It demonstrates how technologies from electric vehicles to smart grids can make a decisive difference in achieving the objective of limiting the global temperature rise to 2c and enhancing energy security. The role of nuclear energy meeting electricity needs in the 2 degree scenario harmony may 2017. The world energy outlook 2010 is a comprehensive energy report issued by the iea.
The role of nuclear energy meeting electricity needs in. The annual outlook, weighing in at 700 pages, is one of the most widelyread and universally respected set of energyrelated forecasts in the world. Questionable assumptions and major omissions posted by gail the actuary on november, 2010 10. Nov 19, 20 the iea world energy outlook was published the 12th of november. Fatih birol, chief economist of the international energy agency iea designed and directed the study which was prepared by the iea s directorate of global energy economics of the international energy agency and other offices of the agency. The international energy agency iea launched its 2012 edition of the world energy outlook weo. Iea world energy outlook 2012 ecoglobe sustainability. Iea world energy outlook, 2002 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 million tonnes of co2 world oecd transition economies developing countries world emissions increase by 1. Will peak oil be the guest or the spectre at the feast. Notwithstanding these differences in methods, gaps between iea and opec price assumptions remain large.
Each year the international energy agency in paris publishes its world energy outlook. World energy outlook 2012 andrew leung international. Every year the iea publishes its report world energy outlook. The reference case projection is a businessasusual trend estimate, given. World energy outlook weo team in the directorate of sustainability, technology and outlooks sto of the international energy agency iea, in cooperation with other directorates and offices of the agency. These are some of the insights touted by the international energy agency iea world energy outlook 2015, published this week. The international energy agency iea, in its latest world energy outlook weo 2014, warns that longterm oil supplies are far from secure, with the middle east reestablishing itself as the main. Iea world energy outlook 10 iea, world energy outlook, november 2016. Eia, annual energy outlook 2014 and international energy outlook 2014. There is also some evidence that households attach a fairly low. Iea world energy outlook 20 peak oil news and message boards. Jun 23, 2015 the world is moving towards a crucial climate change meeting in paris in december 2015 cop21.
When he did so there was one idea that the journalists in the audience latched on to that by 2020 the usa would become the world s largest oil producer. World energy outlook special report on energy and climate. The 2012 edition of the world energy outlook was released on 12 november and presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and economic development. India energy outlook world energy outlook special report 2015. International energy agency industry and government decisionmakers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo2012. Database documentation 2019 first edition international energy agency 1. The iea outlook for gas center on global energy policy. The report is available on line, in pdf form, for 120 euros. Nov 30, 2015 the csis energy and national security program is pleased to host dr. It goes beyond a mere energy report or outlook predictions. Energy efficiency a major factor in the global energy balance is treated in much the same way as conventional fuels. The iea is committed to shaping a secure and sustainable energy future for all.
The international energy agency the iea, which was established in november 1974, has over the years gained recognition as one of the worlds most authoritative sources for energy statistics. But a friend a friend of mine at the brokerage firm of dewey, cheatem and howe lent me access to his copy. Iea world energy outlook 2009 renewable energy technology course 5. Signs of increasing policy focus on energy efficiency alltime high oil prices acting as brake on global economy divergence in natural gas prices affecting europe with prices 5times us levels and asia 8times symptoms of an unsustainable energy system persist. Iea world energy outlook 2010a comment sciencedirect.
The global energy map is changing in dramatic fashion, said the iea, with north america being at the forefront of a sweeping transformation in oil and gas production that will affect all regions of the world. World energy outlook 2011 brings together the latest data, policy developments, and the experience of another year to provide robust analysis and insight into global energy markets, today and for the next 25 years. The world is moving towards a crucial climate change meeting in paris in december 2015 cop21. And the report examines the outlook for brazils energy sector in detail and the implications for the global energy landscape. The future of petrochemicals the ieas most recent indepth look at the global chemical and petrochemical sector seeks to shine a light on this blind spot. Global energy use grows by 36%, with nonoecd countries led by china, where demand surges by 75% accounting for almost all of the increase world primary energy demand by region in the new policies scenario 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 oe rest of world china oecd. World energy outlook 2012 industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo 2012. World total primary energy supply other includes geothermal, solar, wind, biofuels and waste, and heat. Solar energy potential renewable energy technology course 53. Eias international energy outlook 2017 ieo2017 presents an assessment of longterm world energy markets. World energy outlook, energy efficiency and cities author.
Even among energy professionals, the chemical and petrochemical sector is inadequately understood, which often leads to underestimating its impact in energy terms. The iea world energy outlook was published the 12th of november. Industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo 2012. In 2035, the united states would realize a 15% decrease in energy demand relative to 2010 and a 1. The graphics in this presen tation focus on projections through 2040.
The negotiations there will be based on national pledges, formally known as intended nationally determined contributions, with the goal of setting the world on a sustainable path. The international energy agencys iea africa energy outlook a special. Iea world energy outlook 20 peak oil news and message. It is iea flagship publication and is the worlds most comprehensive energy study that looks into the future of energy, its fuels, consumption patterns and investments. Please note that this pdf is subject to specific restrictions. The csis energy and national security program is pleased to host dr. Columbia university ieo2014 september 22, 2014 16 history.
The detailed projections are generated by the world energy model, a largescale simulation tool, developed at the iea over a period of more than 20 years that is designed to replicate how energy markets function. World energy outlook 2012 focus on energy efficiency. The annual world energy outlook is the international energy agencys flagship publication, widely recognised as the most authoritative source for global energy projections and analysis citation needed. Beneath this positive outlook for renewables, however, there are again conservative assumptions. It is iea flagship publication and is the world s most comprehensive energy study that looks into the future of energy, its fuels, consumption patterns and investments. Industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo2012. New iea analysis finds that globally, the oil and gas industry can feasibly reduce up to 75 percent of its current methane emissions.
Its purpose is to act as an energy advisor to the 28 member countries of the oecd. The iea carries out a comprehensive programme of energy cooperation among its member. Iea world energy outlook 2012 real instituto elcano. Iea, world energy outlook total energy and climate 300 0 300 600 900 1200 1500 united states japan european union other oecd china india middle east other nonoecd sub saharan africa mtoe lowcarbon fuels fossil fuels 100 % 80 % 60 % 40 % 20% share of lowcarbon fuels, 2040.
It claims, among other things, that the united states will become the worlds largest oil producer by around 2020, and north america will become a net oil exporter by 2030. Energy information administration annual energy outlook 2012 projections by eia are not statements of what will happen but of what might happen, given the assumptions and methodologies used for any particular scenario. Comparisons of the comparisons of the ieo20 and ieo2011 projections are also presented in appendix k. Iea world energy outlook 2015, presentation to the press. Fatih birol iea chief economist rome, 14 december 2012.
World energy outlook, energy efficiency and cities brian motherway. This year it dealt with caspian energy, energy poverty and energy subsidies. The director of sto, kamel ben naceur, provided guidance throughout the project. Demand for coal will rise up until around 2020 and will start to decline towards the end of the outlook period and nuclear energy will increase from 6% of the energy mix in 2008 to 8% in 2035. The international energy agency iea is an autonomous body which was. It interacts with the global economic and social issues as well as future environmental and developmental considerations. The international energy agency iea is an autonomous body within the framework of the organisation for economic cooperation and development oecd. Fatih birol, executive director at the international energy agency to present the ieas world energy outlook 2015. The iea sees solar costs falling by around 40% between 2014 and 2040, and onshore wind around 15%. What unlocking the purely economic potential for energy efficiency could do, countrybycountry and sectorbysector, for energy markets, the economy and the environment the iraqi energy sector, examining both its importance in satisfying the countrys own needs and its crucial role in meeting global oil and gas demand the waterenergy nexus, as water resources become increasingly. Fatih birol, executive director at the international energy agency to present the iea s world energy outlook 2015. The annual international energy agency iea report world energy outlook 2010 weo 2010 is a remarkable document. World energy outlook 2011 international energy forum.
World energy outlook, energy efficiency and cities. Changes from last edition countries geographical coverage in an effort to enhance timeliness of data for countries beyond the oecd, the iea is pleased to include full coverage of selected emerging economies in this release. Ieas longterm price assumptions are based on ieas supply and demand model and factor in market and policy assumptions. The iea demonstrate this themselves clearly in their. On 12 november the ieas world energy outlook report for 2012 weo2012 was presented by the chief economist of that organisation, dr fatih birol. Appendix l describes the models used to generate the ieo20. The iea carries out a comprehensive programme of energy cooperation among. Energyintensive sectors worldwide account for around onefifth of industrial value added, onequarter of industrial employment and 70% of industrial energy use. For detailed discussion see the weo2015 publications on iea web site. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and. Our work spans a variety of programmes and initiatives, helping ensure energy security, tracking clean energy transitions, collecting data, or providing training around the world. Energy technology perspectives etp is the iea s most ambitious publication on new developments in energy technology.
Its allencompassing annual studies of oil, natural gas, coal, electricity and renewables are indispensable tools for energy policy makers. Iea 2010 world energy outlook ecoglobe sustainability. The international energy agency iea provides unrealistically high oil forecasts in its new 2012 world energy outlook weo. Under the new policies scenario, eu demand is projected to fall to 23% of primary energy demand. An analysis of world energy outlook 2012 resilience. Iea 2010 world energy outlook 2011 outlook 2012 outlook. This edition of the ieas flagship weo publication gives the latest energy demand and supply projections for different future scenarios, broken down by country, fuel and sector.
Africa energy outlook world energy outlook special report. Nov 09, 2011 world energy outlook 2011 brings together the latest data, policy developments, and the experience of another year to provide robust analysis and insight into global energy markets, today and for the next 25 years. It is rewritten annually to reflect the worlds changing energy and economy realities. The iea is also acting on the insights contained in the outlook. The world energy outlook 2018 examines future patterns of a changing global energy system at a time of increasing uncertainties and finds that major transformations are underway for the global energy sector, from growing electrification to the expansion of renewables, upheavals in oil production and globalisation of natural gas markets.
It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and economic development. The ieo2017 is the first ed ition of this report to include mo del results through 2050, which are available on the ieo page of the eia website. World energy outlook special report on energy and climate change. International energy outlook 20 amazon web services. But a friend a friend of mine at the brokerage firm of dewey. Natural gas use of 27 bcm in 2012 is similar both to the volume that. Initiative partnership dialogue facility euei pdf and barefoot college, which trains. Three scenarios are identified under the iea world energy outlook 2016, the current policies, new policies and 450 scenarios. European commission energy 2020 the ieej outlook published by the institute of energy economics, japan provides analyses and projections of energy, environment and economy.
1583 599 1223 1076 1226 770 92 1184 223 75 749 542 890 315 1059 1298 1492 844 416 927 1222 1584 577 547 1443 741 527 962 892 536 1012 505 631 877 1142 506 78 1315 854 584 693